Research for Business, Government, and Society

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Working Paper

Battling the Coronavirus Infodemic Among Social Media Users in Africa

Molly Offer-Westort, Leah R. Rosenzweig, Susan Athey
January2023

During a global pandemic, how can we best prompt social media users to demonstrate discernment in sharing information online? We ran a contextual adaptive experiment on Facebook Messenger with users in Kenya and Nigeria and tested 40 combinations…

Journal Article

Digital Public Health Interventions at Scale: The Impact of Social Media Advertising on Beliefs and Outcomes Related to COVID Vaccines

Susan Athey, Kristen Grabarz, Michael Luca, Nils Wernerfelt
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences January2023 Vol. 120 Issue 5

Public health organizations increasingly use social media advertising campaigns in pursuit of public health goals. In this paper, we evaluate the impact of about $40 million of social media advertisements that were run and experimentally tested…

Journal Article

Expanding Capacity for Vaccines against COVID-19 and Future Pandemics: A Review of Economic Issues

Susan Athey, Juan Camilo Castillo, Esha Chaudhuri, Michael Kremer, Alexandre Simoes Gomes, Christopher M. Snyder
Oxford Review of Economic Policy December2022 Vol. 38 Issue 4

We review economic arguments for using public policy to accelerate vaccine supply during a pandemic. Rapidly vaccinating a large share of the global population helps avoid economic, mortality, and social losses, which in the case of Covid-19…

Working Paper

Effective and Scalable Programs to Facilitate Labor Market Transitions for Women in Technology

Susan Athey, Emil Palikot
November182022

We describe the design, implementation, and evaluation of a low-cost and scalable program that supports women in Poland in transitioning into jobs in the information technology sector. This program, called “Challenges,” helps…

Survey

2022 Survey of Investors, Retirement Savings, and ESG

Stephen H. Haber, John D. Kepler, David F. Larcker, Amit Seru, Brian Tayan
CGRI Survey Series Corporate Governance Research Initiative, Stanford Rock Center for Corporate Governance November2022

In summer 2022, Stanford Graduate School of Business, the Hoover Institution Working Group on Corporate Governance at Stanford University, and Rock Center for Corporate Governance at Stanford University jointly conducted a nationwide survey of 2,…

Working Paper

Emotion- Versus Reasoning-Based Drivers of Misinformation Sharing: A Field Experiment Using Text Message Courses in Kenya

Susan Athey, Matias Cersosimo, Kristine Koutout, Zelin Li
November2022

Two leading hypotheses for why individuals unintentionally share misinformation are that 1) they are unable to recognize that a post contains misinformation, and 2) they make impulsive, emotional sharing decisions without thinking about whether a…

Journal Article

Market Competition and Political Influence: An Integrated Approach

Steven Callander, Dana Foarta, Takuo Sugaya
Econometrica November2022 Vol. 90 Issue 6

The operation of markets and of politics are in practice deeply intertwined. Political decisions set the rules of the game for market competition and, conversely, market competitors participate in and influence political decisions. We develop an…

Book Chapter

Platform Annexation

Susan Athey, Fiona Scott Morton
Antitrust Law Journal Vol. 84, Issue 3 American Bar Association November2022

The article offers information about the platform annexation, and the logic using basic principles from platform economics. It analyzes the platform annexation to the traditional antitrust categories in the market. It mentions that a platform…

Working Paper

Policy Learning with Adaptively Collected Data

Ruohan Zhan, Zhimei Ren, Susan Athey, Zhengyuan Zhou
November2022

Learning optimal policies from historical data enables the gains from personalization to be realized in a wide variety of applications. The growing policy learning literature focuses on a setting where the treatment assignment policy does not…

Working Paper

Smiles in Profiles: Improving Fairness and Efficiency Using Estimates of User Preferences in Online Marketplaces

Susan Athey, Dean Karlan, Emil Palikot, Yuan Yuan
November2022

Online platforms often face challenges being both fair (i.e., non-discriminatory) and efficient (i.e., maximizing revenue). Using computer vision algorithms and observational data from a microlending marketplace, we find that choices made by…

Working Paper

Speed Up the Cold-Start Learning in Two-Sided Bandits with Many Arms

Mohsen Bayati, Junyu Cao, Wanning Chen
November2022

Multi-armed bandit (MAB) algorithms are efficient approaches to reduce the opportunity cost of online experimentation and are used by companies to find the best product from periodically refreshed product catalogs. However, these algorithms face…

Other Publication

PayPal Giving Experiments

Matias Cersosimo, Matt Jarvis, Shannon Coyne Rosado, Leah R. Rosenzweig, Susan Athey, Dean Karlan
Golub Capital Social Impact Lab October2022

This report describes insights gleaned from the Data Fellows collaboration among PayPal, Northwestern University’s Kellogg School of Management, the Golub Capital Social Impact Lab at Stanford University’s Graduate School of Business, and…

Other Publication

Platforms Need to Work with Their Users — Not Against Them

Ethan Bueno de Mesquita, Andrew B. Hall
Harvard Business Review May42022

As online platforms have become dominant, many have leveraged their power by raising fees and changing rules. In the short run, this hurts the producers they work with — software developers, small retailers, game designers, content creators. In…

Working Paper

A General Theory of the Stochastic Linear Bandit and Its Applications

Nima Hamidi, Mohsen Bayati
March2022

Recent growing adoption of experimentation in practice has led to a surge of attention to multiarmed bandits as a technique to reduce the opportunity cost of online experiments. In this setting, a decision-maker sequentially chooses among a set…

Working Paper

Patient-Level Clinical Expertise Enhances Prostate Cancer Recurrence Predictions with Machine Learning

Jacqueline Vallon, Neil Panjwani, Xi Ling, Sushmita Vij, Sandy Srinivas, John Leppert, Mohsen Bayati, Mark K. Buyyounouski
March2022

With rising access to electronic health record data, application of artificial intelligence to create clinical risk prediction models has grown. A key component in designing these models is feature generation. Methods used to generate features…

Working Paper

The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Greedy Algorithms in Multi-Armed Bandit with Many Arms

Mohsen Bayati, Nima Hamidi, Ramesh Johari, Khashayar Khosravi
March2022

We study a Bayesian k-armed bandit problem in many-armed regime, when k ≥ √ T, with T the time horizon. We first show that subsampling is critical for designing optimal policies. Specifically, the standard UCB…

Journal Article

Uncovering Interpretable Potential Confounders in Electronic Medical Records

Jiaming Zeng, Michael F. Gensheimer, Daniel L. Rubin, Susan Athey, Ross D. Shachter
Nature Communications February232022 Vol. 13

Randomized clinical trials (RCT) are the gold standard for informing treatment decisions. Observational studies are often plagued by selection bias, and expert-selected covariates may insufficiently adjust for confounding. We explore how…

Journal Article

The Social Divide of Social Distancing: Lockdowns in Santiago, Chile During the Covid-19 Pandemic

Aldo Carranza, Marcel Goic, Eduardo Lara, Marcelo Olivares, Gabriel Weintraub, Julio Covarrubia, Cristian Escobedo, Natalia Jara, Leonardo J. Basso
Management Science January212022 Vol. 68 Issue 3

Voluntary shelter-in-place directives and lockdowns are the main non-pharmaceutical interventions that governments around the globe have used to contain the Covid-19 pandemic. In this paper we study the impact of such interventions in the capital…

Journal Article

Counterfactual Inference for Consumer Choice Across Many Product Categories

Robert Donnelly, Francisco J.R. Ruiz, David Blei, Susan Athey
Quantitative Marketing and Economics December272021 Vol. 19 Issue 409

This paper proposes a method for estimating consumer preferences among discrete choices, where the consumer chooses at most one product in a category, but selects from multiple categories in parallel. The consumer’s utility is additive in the…

Journal Article

Estimating Experienced Racial Segregation in U.S. Cities Using Large-Scale GPS Data

Susan Athey, Billy Ferguson, Matthew Gentzkow, Tobias Schmidt
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA November162021 Vol. 118 Issue 46

We estimate a measure of segregation, experienced isolation, that captures individuals’ exposure to diverse others in the places they visit over the course of their days. Using Global Positioning System (GPS) data collected from smartphones, we…

Working Paper

Shared Decision-Making: Can Improved Counseling Increase Willingness to Pay for Modern Contraceptives?

Susan Athey, Katy Bergstrom, Vitor Hadad, Julian C. Jamison, Berk Özler, Luca Parisotto, Julius Dohbit Sama
September2021

Long-acting reversible contraceptives are highly effective in preventing unintended pregnancies, but take-up remains low. This paper analyzes a randomized controlled trial of interventions addressing two barriers to long-acting reversible…

Journal Article

Ten Rules for Conducting Retrospective Pharmacoepidemiological Analyses: Example COVID-19 Study

Michael Powell, Allison Koenecke, James Brian Byrd, Akihiko Nishimura, Maximilian F. Konig, Ruoxuan Xiong, Sadiqa Mahmood, Vera Mucaj, Chetan Bettegowda, Liam Rose, Suzanne Tamang , Adam Sacarny, Brian Caffo, Susan Athey, Elizabeth A. Stuart, Joshua Vogelstein
Frontiers in Pharmacology July282021 Vol. 12

Since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, pharmaceutical treatment hypotheses have abounded, each requiring careful evaluation. A randomized controlled trial generally provides the most credible evaluation of a treatment, but the efficiency…

Journal Article

Integrating Explanation and Prediction in Computational Social Science

Jake M. Hofman, Duncan J. Watts, Susan Athey, Filiz Garip, Thomas L. Griffiths, Jon Kleinberg, Helen Margetts, Sendhil Mullainathan, Matthew J. Salganik, Simine Vazire, Alessandro Vespignani , Tal Yarkoni
Nature June2021 Vol. 595 Issue 866

Computational social science is more than just large repositories of digital data and the computational methods needed to construct and analyze them. It also represents a convergence of different fields with different ways of thinking about and…

Journal Article

Procurement Mechanisms for Assortments of Differentiated Products

Daniela Saban, Gabriel Weintraub
Operations Research May2021 Vol. 69 Issue 3

Part of thesis finalist of 2015 INFORMS George Dantzig Dissertation Award. Second place 2015 M&SOM Student Paper Competition.

We consider the problem faced by a procurement agency that runs a mechanism for constructing an…