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Battling the Coronavirus Infodemic Among Social Media Users in Africa
During a global pandemic, how can we best prompt social media users to demonstrate discernment in sharing information online? We ran a contextual adaptive experiment on Facebook Messenger with users in Kenya and Nigeria and tested 40 combinations…
Digital Public Health Interventions at Scale: The Impact of Social Media Advertising on Beliefs and Outcomes Related to COVID Vaccines
Public health organizations increasingly use social media advertising campaigns in pursuit of public health goals. In this paper, we evaluate the impact of about $40 million of social media advertisements that were run and experimentally tested…
Expanding Capacity for Vaccines against COVID-19 and Future Pandemics: A Review of Economic Issues
We review economic arguments for using public policy to accelerate vaccine supply during a pandemic. Rapidly vaccinating a large share of the global population helps avoid economic, mortality, and social losses, which in the case of Covid-19…
Effective and Scalable Programs to Facilitate Labor Market Transitions for Women in Technology
We describe the design, implementation, and evaluation of a low-cost and scalable program that supports women in Poland in transitioning into jobs in the information technology sector. This program, called “Challenges,” helps…
2022 Survey of Investors, Retirement Savings, and ESG
In summer 2022, Stanford Graduate School of Business, the Hoover Institution Working Group on Corporate Governance at Stanford University, and Rock Center for Corporate Governance at Stanford University jointly conducted a nationwide survey of 2,…
Emotion- Versus Reasoning-Based Drivers of Misinformation Sharing: A Field Experiment Using Text Message Courses in Kenya
Two leading hypotheses for why individuals unintentionally share misinformation are that 1) they are unable to recognize that a post contains misinformation, and 2) they make impulsive, emotional sharing decisions without thinking about whether a…
Market Competition and Political Influence: An Integrated Approach
The operation of markets and of politics are in practice deeply intertwined. Political decisions set the rules of the game for market competition and, conversely, market competitors participate in and influence political decisions. We develop an…
Platform Annexation
The article offers information about the platform annexation, and the logic using basic principles from platform economics. It analyzes the platform annexation to the traditional antitrust categories in the market. It mentions that a platform…
Policy Learning with Adaptively Collected Data
Learning optimal policies from historical data enables the gains from personalization to be realized in a wide variety of applications. The growing policy learning literature focuses on a setting where the treatment assignment policy does not…
Smiles in Profiles: Improving Fairness and Efficiency Using Estimates of User Preferences in Online Marketplaces
Online platforms often face challenges being both fair (i.e., non-discriminatory) and efficient (i.e., maximizing revenue). Using computer vision algorithms and observational data from a microlending marketplace, we find that choices made by…
Speed Up the Cold-Start Learning in Two-Sided Bandits with Many Arms
Multi-armed bandit (MAB) algorithms are efficient approaches to reduce the opportunity cost of online experimentation and are used by companies to find the best product from periodically refreshed product catalogs. However, these algorithms face…
PayPal Giving Experiments
This report describes insights gleaned from the Data Fellows collaboration among PayPal, Northwestern University’s Kellogg School of Management, the Golub Capital Social Impact Lab at Stanford University’s Graduate School of Business, and…
Platforms Need to Work with Their Users — Not Against Them
As online platforms have become dominant, many have leveraged their power by raising fees and changing rules. In the short run, this hurts the producers they work with — software developers, small retailers, game designers, content creators. In…
A General Theory of the Stochastic Linear Bandit and Its Applications
Recent growing adoption of experimentation in practice has led to a surge of attention to multiarmed bandits as a technique to reduce the opportunity cost of online experiments. In this setting, a decision-maker sequentially chooses among a set…
Patient-Level Clinical Expertise Enhances Prostate Cancer Recurrence Predictions with Machine Learning
With rising access to electronic health record data, application of artificial intelligence to create clinical risk prediction models has grown. A key component in designing these models is feature generation. Methods used to generate features…
The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Greedy Algorithms in Multi-Armed Bandit with Many Arms
We study a Bayesian k-armed bandit problem in many-armed regime, when k ≥ √ T, with T the time horizon. We first show that subsampling is critical for designing optimal policies. Specifically, the standard UCB…
Uncovering Interpretable Potential Confounders in Electronic Medical Records
Randomized clinical trials (RCT) are the gold standard for informing treatment decisions. Observational studies are often plagued by selection bias, and expert-selected covariates may insufficiently adjust for confounding. We explore how…
The Social Divide of Social Distancing: Lockdowns in Santiago, Chile During the Covid-19 Pandemic
Voluntary shelter-in-place directives and lockdowns are the main non-pharmaceutical interventions that governments around the globe have used to contain the Covid-19 pandemic. In this paper we study the impact of such interventions in the capital…
Counterfactual Inference for Consumer Choice Across Many Product Categories
This paper proposes a method for estimating consumer preferences among discrete choices, where the consumer chooses at most one product in a category, but selects from multiple categories in parallel. The consumer’s utility is additive in the…
Estimating Experienced Racial Segregation in U.S. Cities Using Large-Scale GPS Data
We estimate a measure of segregation, experienced isolation, that captures individuals’ exposure to diverse others in the places they visit over the course of their days. Using Global Positioning System (GPS) data collected from smartphones, we…
Shared Decision-Making: Can Improved Counseling Increase Willingness to Pay for Modern Contraceptives?
Long-acting reversible contraceptives are highly effective in preventing unintended pregnancies, but take-up remains low. This paper analyzes a randomized controlled trial of interventions addressing two barriers to long-acting reversible…
Ten Rules for Conducting Retrospective Pharmacoepidemiological Analyses: Example COVID-19 Study
Since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, pharmaceutical treatment hypotheses have abounded, each requiring careful evaluation. A randomized controlled trial generally provides the most credible evaluation of a treatment, but the efficiency…
Integrating Explanation and Prediction in Computational Social Science
Computational social science is more than just large repositories of digital data and the computational methods needed to construct and analyze them. It also represents a convergence of different fields with different ways of thinking about and…
Procurement Mechanisms for Assortments of Differentiated Products
Part of thesis finalist of 2015 INFORMS George Dantzig Dissertation Award. Second place 2015 M&SOM Student Paper Competition.
We consider the problem faced by a procurement agency that runs a mechanism for constructing an…